Set1985b
0x2f6a5152a5844e10f98614e6551356e20d0687f3
- Realised P&L
- $-29.35
- Volume
- $13.0k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$256.83at 0.753Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$210.29at 0.515Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$67.56at 0.321Avalanche vs. Flyers
- +$43.19at 0.757Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$39.82at 0.304Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 04:57 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.65 | $27.01 |
| 11-02 03:39 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.3299999921 | $4.19 |
| 11-02 03:38 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.3299999932 | $1.94 |
| 11-02 03:37 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.3299999961 | $24.46 |
| 11-02 03:26 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.014 | $4.31 |
| 11-02 03:23 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.143 | $14.11 |
| 11-02 03:15 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $8.79 |
| 11-02 03:10 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $7.68 |
| 11-02 02:29 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.2999999992 | $35.48 |
| 11-02 02:24 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $0.19 |
| 11-02 02:24 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $14.42 |
| 11-02 02:02 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $36.76 |
| 11-02 01:51 | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $7.68 |
| 11-01 14:47 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.78 | $0.08 |
| 11-01 03:16 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |