PolyBot

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Traders

0x2F44d5b32D9934C1f81e475Dbe07dDe9E223720a-1768392975073

0x2f44d5b32d9934c1f81e475dbe07dde9e223720a

Realised P&L
$-614.08
Volume
$4.6k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$90.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-13.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration37.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? · Yes0.2400.380$82.87+$30.53
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.1530.046$7.63$17.47
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.5480.000$0.00$490.34
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? · No0.8550.000$0.00$59.85
Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.3380.000$0.00$75.41
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? · No0.8100.000$0.00$85.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-28 14:38Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.54$108.00
08-11 02:20Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.58$101.77
08-04 11:56Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?BUY0.2399999969$52.34
07-29 14:19Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.76$34.97
07-22 13:27Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.41$25.01
07-22 04:28Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.153$25.09
04-23 00:58Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY0.9459999936$2.66
03-21 18:06US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.95$95.00
03-06 15:52US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?SELL0.998$5.99
03-03 13:05US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY0.971$5.83
03-03 13:03DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?SELL0.41$6.95
03-02 00:56Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?BUY0.5996210686$79.12
03-01 15:30Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.4799999827$10.00
03-01 15:25DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?BUY0.5899999947$10.00
02-27 12:34US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?BUY0.439999996$43.61