PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

riskybet92

0x2f03c2a4ea6cdb5e0eac5c29a58981339c70ec6a

Realised P&L
$159.10
Volume
$702.1k
Markets traded
103
Open portfolio
$6.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded103
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5070.506$6.3k$14.25
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.375$28.06+$4.11
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$500.00
Spread: England (-1.5) · England0.1840.000$0.00$80.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$720.00
Harry Kane: 2+ goals · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$100.00
Harry Kane: 2+ goals · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$49.89
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$200.00
Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5) · Cabo Verde0.1700.000$0.00$700.00
IR Iran to score first vs. Belgium? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$270.00
Spread: Norway (-1.5) · Norway0.2400.000$0.00$189.29
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$1.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2160.000$0.00$1.2k
Will Cape Verde reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0750.000$0.00$45.00
Spread: Germany (-2.5) · Germany0.1500.000$0.00$48.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-21 20:24Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$23.94
07-19 22:30Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5140233983$3.5k
07-19 22:22Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.500193242$2.5k
07-19 22:12Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.489953558$211.00
07-19 21:55Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?SELL0.0845377794$218.79
07-19 21:38Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3949999996$338.40
07-19 21:37Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?SELL0.999$350.46
07-19 21:25Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3274999572$4.00
07-19 21:23Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3074999997$608.46
07-19 21:22Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?SELL0.999$633.92
07-19 19:36Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
07-19 18:32Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsBUY0.3499999992$192.77
07-19 18:31Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.585$199.15
07-19 18:31Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5874999992$200.00
07-19 18:31Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?SELL0.32$216.73