38327832383823
0x2ef771fd8389db12d5ba48b6b12eadaac11085ec
- Realised P&L
- $27.0k
- Volume
- $490.8k
- Markets traded
- 269
- Open portfolio
- $51.93
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded269
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.8kat 0.321Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
- +$2.8kat 0.451US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
- +$1.6kat 0.359Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.337US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
- +$807.95at 0.133Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:59 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2048643903 | $227.51 |
| 09-17 18:44 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $19.02 |
| 09-17 18:43 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2295545657 | $51.53 |
| 09-17 18:42 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $4.07 |
| 09-17 18:42 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $70.00 |
| 09-17 18:38 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $220.00 |
| 09-17 18:37 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $83.20 |
| 09-16 18:06 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-16 18:01 | Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.5k |
| 09-16 18:00 | Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? | BUY | 0.4923189333 | $738.48 |
| 09-08 15:47 | Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in September? | BUY | 0.997 | $63.81 |
| 09-08 14:16 | Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in September? | BUY | 0.98 | $104.93 |
| 09-07 16:51 | Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in September? | BUY | 0.9877802341 | $189.90 |
| 09-07 16:51 | Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in September? | BUY | 0.9849369085 | $78.06 |
| 09-07 16:51 | Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in September? | BUY | 0.9791798942 | $185.07 |