0xc6fEFf92901586C0899f677fD8c69De41E51EB17-1763577609529
0x2ecf9eabc9a5c949cdccef93f703b740c0e05522
- Realised P&L
- $-24.22
- Volume
- $569.04
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $15.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.47at 0.356Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
- +$7.80at 0.396Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
- +$6.80at 0.320Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
- +$2.27at 0.477Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
- +$1.95at 0.427Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 09:20 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $7.07 |
| 10-10 09:20 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.4253440405 | $7.08 |
| 08-31 15:38 | Will Russia target Kyiv on August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0194174757 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 15:34 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.34 | $3.40 |
| 08-29 21:07 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 08-29 21:05 | Will Suverēnā Vara (SV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.093 | $0.93 |
| 08-28 06:37 | Will Trump say "Moon Base" during remarks at NASA? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 06:36 | Will Trump say "Alien" during remarks at NASA? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 06:35 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.0475247087 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 12:42 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 08-27 12:38 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 08-20 16:51 | NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? | BUY | 0.0170476289 | $1.70 |
| 08-20 16:50 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | BUY | 0.119 | $1.19 |
| 08-02 18:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 18:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |