PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc6fEFf92901586C0899f677fD8c69De41E51EB17-1763577609529

0x2ecf9eabc9a5c949cdccef93f703b740c0e05522

Realised P&L
$-24.22
Volume
$569.04
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$15.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026? · Yes0.4250.425$7.07−$0.01
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 15, 2026? · Yes0.4000.375$6.63−$0.44
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2800.205$2.05−$0.75
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? · Yes0.2200.013$0.13−$2.08
Will Trump say "Alien" during remarks at NASA? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00−$1.00
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? · No0.0170.000$0.00−$1.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET · Up0.2300.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00−$5.00
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026? · No0.3800.000$0.00−$3.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET · Down0.2670.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET · Up0.1800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? · No0.4300.000$0.00−$4.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$5.00
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No0.3400.000$0.00−$3.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 09:20Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 15, 2026?BUY0.4$7.07
10-10 09:20Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026?BUY0.4253440405$7.08
08-31 15:38Will Russia target Kyiv on August 31, 2026?BUY0.0194174757$1.00
08-31 15:34Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?BUY0.34$3.40
08-29 21:07Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?BUY0.38$3.80
08-29 21:05Will Suverēnā Vara (SV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?SELL0.093$0.93
08-28 06:37Will Trump say "Moon Base" during remarks at NASA?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
08-28 06:36Will Trump say "Alien" during remarks at NASA?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
08-28 06:35Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?BUY0.0475247087$1.00
08-27 12:42Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?BUY0.22$2.20
08-27 12:38NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.28$2.80
08-20 16:51NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?BUY0.0170476289$1.70
08-20 16:50Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?BUY0.119$1.19
08-02 18:08Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETBUY0.5$1.00
08-02 18:08Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETBUY0.5$2.00