0x0678a98FF0107dF25a4DE0c83CC37B67B08Fbd0d-1775939322385
0x2ea83e6632e1d0421e45855165de32098ec95766
- Realised P&L
- $56.06
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $185.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wu Tsung-hsien win the next Yilan County Magistrate election? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.385 | $115.50 | +$28.50 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.175 | $70.00 | +$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.22at 0.335Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?
- +$8.84at 0.1242026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 02:21 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $68.00 |
| 10-03 17:37 | Will Wu Tsung-hsien win the next Yilan County Magistrate election? | BUY | 0.29 | $87.00 |
| 09-21 22:31 | Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.325805527 | $107.28 |
| 09-10 19:27 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.1399193509 | $113.64 |
| 08-10 19:44 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.119999999 | $97.46 |