PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

vdf852sdw

0x2e778415f0c0e144f83d0a2876009dfe7d210368

Realised P&L
$524.03
Volume
$31.5k
Markets traded
260
Open portfolio
$391.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded260
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4140.487$365.14+$55.14
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians0.5400.535$16.05−$0.15
Seahawks vs. Broncos · Broncos0.4100.425$10.63+$0.38
Timberwolves vs. Bucks · Bucks0.5900.000$0.00−$132.16
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers · Detroit Tigers0.4700.000$0.00−$15.04
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles · Toronto Blue Jays0.5100.000$0.00−$7.65
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox · Tampa Bay Rays0.4600.000$0.00−$12.88
Bruins vs. Lightning · Bruins0.3900.000$0.00−$24.00
Paris: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich · Talia Gibson0.4100.000$0.00−$20.00
Lightning vs. Hurricanes · Lightning0.4300.000$0.00−$152.00
Buccaneers vs. Bengals · Buccaneers0.3600.000$0.00−$5.04
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals · Kansas City Royals0.4600.000$0.00−$12.88
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees0.6000.000$0.00−$11.40
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs · Chicago Cubs0.5400.000$0.00−$17.82
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres · Milwaukee Brewers0.5260.000$0.00−$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 10:40Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland GuardiansBUY0.54$8.10
10-13 10:36Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland GuardiansBUY0.54$8.10
10-12 06:55Seahawks vs. BroncosBUY0.41$10.25
10-11 07:03Vikings vs. SaintsBUY0.5599999328$2.00
10-10 08:08Browns vs. JetsBUY0.57$9.07
10-09 11:21Bengals vs. DolphinsBUY0.75$4.00
10-08 08:47Broncos vs. ChargersBUY0.38$8.74
10-08 08:15Raiders vs. PatriotsBUY0.63$12.60
10-07 10:51Giants vs. CommandersBUY0.3799999846$1.48
10-06 09:29Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesBUY0.6$11.40
10-05 06:25Bears vs. PackersBUY0.59999997$4.00
10-02 07:30Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.5256198043$6.00
10-01 08:59Cowboys vs. TexansBUY0.6$12.00
09-30 07:26Jaguars vs. BengalsBUY0.57$12.54
09-29 06:29Patriots vs. BillsBUY0.7299999807$3.40