vdf852sdw
0x2e778415f0c0e144f83d0a2876009dfe7d210368
- Realised P&L
- $524.03
- Volume
- $31.5k
- Markets traded
- 260
- Open portfolio
- $391.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded260
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.414 | 0.487 | $365.14 | +$55.14 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians | 0.540 | 0.535 | $16.05 | −$0.15 |
| Seahawks vs. Broncos · Broncos | 0.410 | 0.425 | $10.63 | +$0.38 |
| Timberwolves vs. Bucks · Bucks | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$132.16 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers · Detroit Tigers | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.04 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles · Toronto Blue Jays | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.65 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.88 |
| Bruins vs. Lightning · Bruins | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
| Paris: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich · Talia Gibson | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Lightning vs. Hurricanes · Lightning | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$152.00 |
| Buccaneers vs. Bengals · Buccaneers | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.04 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals · Kansas City Royals | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.88 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.40 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs · Chicago Cubs | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.82 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.526 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$287.32at 0.410Red Wings vs. Senators
- +$254.09at 0.440Islanders vs. Canadiens
- +$250.57at 0.444Rockets vs. Heat
- +$195.74at 0.540Jets vs. Ducks
- +$195.72at 0.605Canucks vs. Kraken
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 10:40 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.54 | $8.10 |
| 10-13 10:36 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.54 | $8.10 |
| 10-12 06:55 | Seahawks vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.41 | $10.25 |
| 10-11 07:03 | Vikings vs. Saints | BUY | 0.5599999328 | $2.00 |
| 10-10 08:08 | Browns vs. Jets | BUY | 0.57 | $9.07 |
| 10-09 11:21 | Bengals vs. Dolphins | BUY | 0.75 | $4.00 |
| 10-08 08:47 | Broncos vs. Chargers | BUY | 0.38 | $8.74 |
| 10-08 08:15 | Raiders vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 10-07 10:51 | Giants vs. Commanders | BUY | 0.3799999846 | $1.48 |
| 10-06 09:29 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.6 | $11.40 |
| 10-05 06:25 | Bears vs. Packers | BUY | 0.59999997 | $4.00 |
| 10-02 07:30 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.5256198043 | $6.00 |
| 10-01 08:59 | Cowboys vs. Texans | BUY | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 09-30 07:26 | Jaguars vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.57 | $12.54 |
| 09-29 06:29 | Patriots vs. Bills | BUY | 0.7299999807 | $3.40 |