0x2e6ab5cc133ea5678cb335376a3998bb1694de44
0x2e6ab5cc133ea5678cb335376a3998bb1694de44
- Realised P&L
- $-1.62
- Volume
- $53.98
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $17.72
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.987 | $3.18 | +$0.89 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.275 | $3.00 | +$0.71 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.974 | $2.93 | +$0.64 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.815 | $2.63 | +$0.34 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.340 | $2.16 | −$0.13 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.490 | $1.42 | −$0.87 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.420 | $1.32 | −$0.97 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $174 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.335 | $1.05 | −$1.24 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.004 | $0.03 | −$2.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.73at 0.759Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
- +$-2.35at 0.308Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 21 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 22:19 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999497 | $2.29 |
| 09-21 14:15 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999759 | $2.29 |
| 09-21 06:13 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $174 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999841 | $2.29 |
| 09-21 06:07 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999738 | $2.29 |
| 09-20 21:51 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999349 | $2.29 |
| 09-20 07:30 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.7599999734 | $2.29 |
| 09-19 23:26 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999905 | $2.29 |
| 09-19 15:10 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999982 | $2.29 |
| 09-19 06:21 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.29 |
| 09-18 22:19 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998374 | $2.29 |
| 09-18 12:17 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998047 | $2.29 |