PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2e61f64f38640502e451cba4663bac72147eaf78

0x2e61f64f38640502e451cba4663bac72147eaf78

Realised P&L
$-2.77
Volume
$316.41
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$38.81

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration52.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9750.989$35.48+$0.48
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta? · Yes0.1420.065$2.28−$2.72
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · No0.9400.978$1.04+$0.04
Will Trump say “Crooked Hillary” by February 28? · No0.5500.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Trump talk to Mette Frederiksen in February? · Yes0.9100.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-08 20:11Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?SELL0.962$4.97
02-12 19:42Will Trump say “Crooked Hillary” by February 28?BUY0.5499999725$2.00
02-12 16:45Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?BUY0.1424068442$5.00
02-12 16:25Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?SELL0.72$11.15
01-26 23:36Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.975$17.00
01-26 23:34Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.975$18.00
01-21 23:27Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?BUY0.0169999918$2.00
01-21 23:23Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.2709998686$1.00
01-21 23:23Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.3829997721$1.00
01-21 23:19Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?BUY0.9399996992$1.00
01-21 23:11Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?BUY0.5799998144$3.00
01-21 03:24Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?BUY0.7099999509$11.00
01-21 03:24Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?SELL0.29$10.49
01-21 03:24Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?BUY0.3041926686$11.00
01-21 03:15Will Trump talk to Mette Frederiksen in February?BUY0.91$1.00