0x2e61b5da5a8c34d2aa32c80fd9c83aedb4225135
0x2e61b5da5a8c34d2aa32c80fd9c83aedb4225135
- Realised P&L
- $-10.37
- Volume
- $146.78
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $6.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No | 0.690 | 0.835 | $2.53 | +$0.44 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.440 | $1.47 | +$0.47 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? · No | 0.390 | 0.485 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in September? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.500 | $0.79 | −$0.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.27at 0.250US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$3.88at 0.350US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$2.67at 0.278Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$1.42at 0.600Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?
- +$1.31at 0.570SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 00:28 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in September? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 00:01 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 15:27 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 14:59 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 08:30 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.09 |
| 09-02 18:37 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.36 |
| 09-01 08:46 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999153 | $2.09 |
| 08-23 22:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.5399999328 | $2.09 |
| 08-23 10:02 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August? | BUY | 0.5949998918 | $2.09 |
| 08-22 04:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.7699997495 | $2.09 |
| 08-21 20:32 | Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during his rally with Darline Graham? | BUY | 0.6499997045 | $2.09 |
| 08-15 06:01 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | BUY | 0.6899999109 | $2.09 |
| 08-13 21:24 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during remarks in New York? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.09 |
| 08-13 13:20 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.09 |
| 08-13 05:16 | Will Trump say "Hottest" during remarks in New York? | BUY | 0.7399999929 | $2.09 |