PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sha-mt

0x2e4ffbd5381cfe7004030380e48fff2a8d1cd3a5

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$42.7k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$834.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration99.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.1750.085$389.49$412.59
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0880.055$330.00$200.00
Russia coup attempt in 2026? · Yes0.0730.055$105.76$34.20
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.973$9.72+$0.53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? · Yes0.1850.000$0.00$1.1k
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$0.50
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$15.60
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? · Yes0.2240.000$0.00$894.57
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30? · No0.8300.000$0.00$20.75
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · No0.2620.000$0.00$709.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 20:23NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.7009999906$10.00
08-20 20:23NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.701$15.00
08-16 03:00Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.14$1.26
08-02 07:16Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.3$47.19
08-02 06:57Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.1783564586$996.34
08-02 06:36Russia coup attempt in 2026?BUY0.08$98.35
08-02 06:30Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$495.00
08-02 06:28Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?BUY0.24$960.00
05-15 13:48Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.252621775$1.0k
05-11 18:55Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?BUY0.2221025353$893.48
04-21 17:50Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?BUY0.83$20.75
04-21 17:48Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?BUY0.26$15.60
04-13 14:38Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.92$9.20