0x2e2a4b3fa277534e241c12956374d3eceac04db3
0x2e2a4b3fa277534e241c12956374d3eceac04db3
- Realised P&L
- $-1.89
- Volume
- $97.79
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $3.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.825 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.755 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.530 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.055 | $0.16 | −$0.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.56at 0.306Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?
- +$2.01at 0.359Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $72 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$1.87at 0.370US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$1.56at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$1.56at 0.420SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 18:05 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 10:02 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:31 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:51 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on October 2? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 13:41 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 05:34 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $367.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:53 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:39 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:07 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 00:08 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.769999909 | $1.10 |
| 09-24 00:07 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.10 |
| 09-23 16:02 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999084 | $1.10 |
| 09-23 07:35 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.4099999739 | $1.10 |
| 09-22 18:45 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.10 |
| 09-19 15:18 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.6699998173 | $1.10 |