cumbiaflow
0x2de87e6ab8c740e96eabcd97db588ecd8e100f84
- Realised P&L
- $68.16
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $254.27
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.512 | $79.44 | +$1.94 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.500 | 0.487 | $75.56 | −$1.94 |
| QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.760 | 0.780 | $71.76 | +$1.84 |
| Betmoar FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No | 0.770 | 0.790 | $24.49 | +$0.62 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No | 0.560 | 0.765 | $2.32 | +$0.62 |
| APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No | 0.082 | 0.022 | $0.69 | −$1.89 |
| Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.50at 0.230Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?
- +$22.97at 0.820Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$15.97at 0.855Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
- +$10.33at 0.750Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?
- +$8.00at 0.130Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 14:17 | Betmoar FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.77 | $23.87 |
| 09-08 14:09 | Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $43.50 |
| 08-22 18:12 | APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.082 | $2.58 |
| 08-22 17:51 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.137 | $6.30 |
| 08-22 17:49 | Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.86 | $48.16 |
| 08-08 15:08 | Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.77 | $38.50 |
| 08-08 15:05 | Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.84 | $47.04 |
| 07-26 16:37 | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5599999078 | $1.70 |
| 07-12 15:42 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.221 | $10.17 |
| 06-24 09:05 | QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.76 | $69.92 |
| 06-24 08:08 | Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.91 | $63.70 |
| 06-06 16:57 | Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.83 | $58.10 |
| 06-06 16:28 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $171.00 |
| 04-15 09:13 | Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.48 | $9.12 |
| 04-06 09:00 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.608 | $45.60 |