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Traders

Sergioser

0x2da55567afa789db6cd2838d58aced669a49b902

Realised P&L
$-27.85
Volume
$5.7k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$23.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 21:19Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his rally in Oklahoma?BUY0.0526158864$10.00
09-23 15:09Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.0329999999$10.00
09-14 08:57Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.32$10.00
09-09 15:08Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" or "Bitcoin" during RNC Convention (Night 1)?BUY0.08$10.00
09-09 15:03Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.1699999983$10.00
07-15 21:53Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5809999837$10.00
07-08 22:46Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2299999869$10.00
07-04 19:32Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?BUY0.3099999836$10.00
07-04 19:31Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.2399999674$5.00
07-04 19:30Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.3099999836$10.00
07-04 19:28Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
07-04 19:28Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.05$1.00
06-29 17:31Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETBUY0.7599999696$5.00
06-29 17:29Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.4299999931$10.00
06-29 17:29Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?BUY0.3099999836$10.00
Trader Sergioser · PolyBot Pro