Sergioser
0x2da55567afa789db6cd2838d58aced669a49b902
- Realised P&L
- $-27.85
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $23.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.24at 0.266Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$27.27at 0.427Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
- +$22.05at 0.316Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?
- +$7.00at 0.593Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.52at 0.906Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 21:19 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his rally in Oklahoma? | BUY | 0.0526158864 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 15:09 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.0329999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 08:57 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 15:08 | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" or "Bitcoin" during RNC Convention (Night 1)? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 15:03 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 21:53 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5809999837 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 22:46 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 19:32 | Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3099999836 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 19:31 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 19:30 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.3099999836 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 19:28 | Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 19:28 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 17:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.7599999696 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 17:29 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 17:29 | Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3099999836 | $10.00 |