PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sldwa

0x2da351390a6aff272bceef461bc543b965563895

Realised P&L
$-7.8k
Volume
$615.3k
Markets traded
415
Open portfolio
$3.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded415
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration82.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8840.892$2.7k+$24.18
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? · Yes0.3400.195$276.70−$205.75
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? · Yes0.4110.425$10.66+$0.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 09:14Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.35$372.31
10-04 09:14Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 5?SELL0.63$7.04
10-03 19:45Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship?SELL0.8176666667$53.97
10-03 19:13Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?SELL0.81$1.1k
10-03 18:08Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.34$343.36
10-03 18:07Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.35$86.00
10-03 18:06Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?SELL0.22$29.48
10-03 18:06Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.4731470911$431.04
10-03 11:29Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?SELL0.81$1.5k
10-03 11:29Will The Fall-Off (J. Cole) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?SELL0.4013654885$42.36
10-03 11:28Will The Fall-Off (J. Cole) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?SELL0.6$41.17
10-03 05:59Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?SELL0.86$17.20
10-03 04:55Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?SELL0.76$55.62
10-03 04:55Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?SELL0.15$9.30
10-02 17:26Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?SELL0.65$1.22