sldwa
0x2da351390a6aff272bceef461bc543b965563895
- Realised P&L
- $-7.8k
- Volume
- $615.3k
- Markets traded
- 415
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded415
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.884 | 0.892 | $2.7k | +$24.18 |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.195 | $276.70 | −$205.75 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? · Yes | 0.411 | 0.425 | $10.66 | +$0.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$869.01at 0.280Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$110.83at 0.402Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$106.84at 0.370Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- +$65.29at 0.400Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$51.54at 0.500Spread: Bills (-7.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 09:14 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $372.31 |
| 10-04 09:14 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.63 | $7.04 |
| 10-03 19:45 | Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | SELL | 0.8176666667 | $53.97 |
| 10-03 19:13 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | SELL | 0.81 | $1.1k |
| 10-03 18:08 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $343.36 |
| 10-03 18:07 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $86.00 |
| 10-03 18:06 | Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | SELL | 0.22 | $29.48 |
| 10-03 18:06 | Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.4731470911 | $431.04 |
| 10-03 11:29 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | SELL | 0.81 | $1.5k |
| 10-03 11:29 | Will The Fall-Off (J. Cole) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | SELL | 0.4013654885 | $42.36 |
| 10-03 11:28 | Will The Fall-Off (J. Cole) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | SELL | 0.6 | $41.17 |
| 10-03 05:59 | Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 10-03 04:55 | Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.76 | $55.62 |
| 10-03 04:55 | Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $9.30 |
| 10-02 17:26 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.65 | $1.22 |