0x2d88050cbaa0ba03ae0b757b19ad12667eb90b4b
0x2d88050cbaa0ba03ae0b757b19ad12667eb90b4b
- Realised P&L
- $0.20
- Volume
- $189.61
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $4.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.950 | $1.52 | +$0.51 |
| Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.400 | 0.580 | $1.45 | +$0.45 |
| Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.345 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.84at 0.268Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA?
- +$2.57at 0.288Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$2.33at 0.308Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$1.59at 0.394Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.56at 0.400Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 21:49 | Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 12:01 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 05:38 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 21:35 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 12:45 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:11 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:14 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 13:30 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 16:19 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 08:19 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $502.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 22:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 09:23 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 00:38 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 in September? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:21 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 18:09 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |