gargo3490
0x2d85589759bfd4fdafc9fa2cbf1bec90c11f0287
- Realised P&L
- $-1.45
- Volume
- $358.82
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $18.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.91at 0.351Will CD Oriente Petrolero win on 2026-09-17?
- +$1.70at 0.540S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 12?
- +$1.60at 0.750Will Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?
- +$1.47at 0.412Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-09-19?
- +$1.41at 0.422Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 21:01 | Will Greece win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? | BUY | 0.975 | $4.00 |
| 10-07 20:59 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 20:49 | Will Honduras win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 20:49 | Will Romania win on 2026-10-05? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.53 |
| 10-05 20:45 | Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 20:44 | Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 16:24 | Will Romania win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 05:44 | Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 05:44 | Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.97 |
| 10-03 05:44 | Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 05:43 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 05:43 | Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 05:43 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 20:43 | Will Czechia win on 2026-09-29? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.15 |
| 09-29 20:41 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9849999992 | $6.00 |