PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2D650c4bBF4b7DbD69E21732dfedf2E8c640E45D-1774169936678

0x2d650c4bbf4b7dbd69e21732dfedf2e8c640e45d

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$5.9k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$507.04

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-17.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration54.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? · Yes0.3770.083$304.05$1.1k
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8950.954$202.42+$12.42
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026? · Yes0.0200.011$0.56$0.44
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1260.000$0.00$20.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0930.000$0.00$10.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00$10.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$4.50
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00$15.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 8? · Yes0.1170.000$0.00$1.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-12 14:07Will Trump visit China by May 15?SELL0.005$0.05
05-08 15:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?SELL0.001$0.06
05-07 19:59Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 8?BUY0.117$1.17
05-07 19:52Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.15$1.50
05-07 19:51Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?BUY0.09$4.50
05-07 19:49Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?BUY0.063$3.80
05-07 19:47Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.942$10.52
04-04 20:34Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?BUY0.2651407369$80.22
04-04 11:31Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?BUY0.263040933$100.00
04-03 19:50Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?BUY0.2984540082$100.00
04-03 19:44Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?BUY0.2799999854$10.00
04-03 19:42Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026?BUY0.0204508939$1.00
04-03 15:57Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?BUY0.2699492495$100.00
04-03 10:15Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?BUY0.4421731954$1000.00
04-01 21:53Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?BUY0.5704917967$15.00