xNightWanderer
0x2d0ad362313d552ea789218740e7d509a71ea3b9
- Realised P&L
- $84.31
- Volume
- $66.2k
- Markets traded
- 483
- Open portfolio
- $219.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded483
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.248Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by October 31?
- +$481.51at 0.164Timberwolves vs. Spurs
- +$293.84at 0.405Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?
- +$172.19at 0.089Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$155.24at 0.474US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 15:41 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.87 | $30.45 |
| 09-13 17:17 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $33.60 |
| 09-13 13:52 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 13:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5299999587 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 18:14 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 18:12 | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | BUY | 0.089108903 | $10.00 |
| 09-03 16:15 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $30.00 |
| 09-01 12:44 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.005 | $3.75 |
| 08-29 16:17 | Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31? | SELL | 0.1778 | $8.89 |
| 08-26 00:54 | Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3267310461 | $20.00 |
| 08-25 14:34 | Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 08-25 14:24 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 08-25 14:24 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999972 | $30.00 |
| 08-24 14:09 | Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $17.50 |
| 08-24 14:09 | Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31? | BUY | 0.49 | $24.50 |