PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

xNightWanderer

0x2d0ad362313d552ea789218740e7d509a71ea3b9

Realised P&L
$160.42
Volume
$62.2k
Markets traded
462
Open portfolio
$108.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded462
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 23:19Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.998999002$1.00
07-25 12:32Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.248$52.76
07-23 15:17Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?SELL0.2268682505$4.20
07-23 15:17Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 25?BUY0.079375$1.91
07-23 15:16Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 25?BUY0.067$0.34
07-23 15:13Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 24?BUY0.0010642464$5.00
07-23 15:13Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 24?BUY0.0295741269$5.00
07-23 15:08Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 24?BUY0.23$8.74
07-23 15:07Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 24?BUY0.22$1.10
07-23 14:26Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25?BUY0.39$10.14
07-23 14:24Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?BUY0.26977$10.79
07-23 14:24Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?BUY0.26$4.42
07-22 17:10Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 24?BUY0.25$10.00
07-22 15:22Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 23?BUY0.2$10.00
07-22 15:15Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 24?BUY0.39$10.14