PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xNightWanderer

0x2d0ad362313d552ea789218740e7d509a71ea3b9

Realised P&L
$84.31
Volume
$66.2k
Markets traded
483
Open portfolio
$219.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded483
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 15:41Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.87$30.45
09-13 17:17Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.48$33.60
09-13 13:52Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.5599999955$10.00
09-13 13:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.5299999587$5.00
09-06 18:14Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?BUY0.08$10.00
09-06 18:12Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?BUY0.089108903$10.00
09-03 16:15Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?BUY0.12$30.00
09-01 12:44Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.005$3.75
08-29 16:17Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?SELL0.1778$8.89
08-26 00:54Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 31, 2026?BUY0.3267310461$20.00
08-25 14:34Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?BUY0.1099999913$10.00
08-25 14:24Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?BUY0.18$3.60
08-25 14:24Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5499999972$30.00
08-24 14:09Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?BUY0.35$17.50
08-24 14:09Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31?BUY0.49$24.50