xNightWanderer
0x2d0ad362313d552ea789218740e7d509a71ea3b9
- Realised P&L
- $160.42
- Volume
- $62.2k
- Markets traded
- 462
- Open portfolio
- $108.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded462
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.248Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by October 31?
- +$293.84at 0.405Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?
- +$180.46at 0.087Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$155.24at 0.474US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$91.13at 0.523Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 23:19 | Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.998999002 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 12:32 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.248 | $52.76 |
| 07-23 15:17 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.2268682505 | $4.20 |
| 07-23 15:17 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.079375 | $1.91 |
| 07-23 15:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.067 | $0.34 |
| 07-23 15:13 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 24? | BUY | 0.0010642464 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 15:13 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 24? | BUY | 0.0295741269 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 15:08 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 24? | BUY | 0.23 | $8.74 |
| 07-23 15:07 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 24? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 07-23 14:26 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.39 | $10.14 |
| 07-23 14:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.26977 | $10.79 |
| 07-23 14:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.26 | $4.42 |
| 07-22 17:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 24? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 15:22 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 23? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 15:15 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 24? | BUY | 0.39 | $10.14 |