valentrader
0x2d06ab97caac8b060d5d1f65f9195fddb70650bb
- Realised P&L
- $27.27
- Volume
- $9.5k
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $42.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$98.00at 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
- +$18.90at 0.213Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
- +$15.63at 0.161Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$14.43at 0.019Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?
- +$7.07at 0.290 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 20:54 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6279999573 | $2.00 |
| 10-28 19:35 | Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 20:42 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 18:56 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6739997843 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 22:31 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 22:30 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $2.00 |
| 10-25 11:46 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 11:46 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 11:36 | Will the Democratic Party win the WI-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 07:41 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 19:41 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 19:40 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 22:58 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 22:51 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 21:43 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $2.00 |