PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

valentrader

0x2d06ab97caac8b060d5d1f65f9195fddb70650bb

Realised P&L
$27.27
Volume
$9.5k
Markets traded
180
Open portfolio
$42.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded180
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3600.275$6.88−$2.12
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3630.295$5.69−$1.32
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No0.3070.215$4.90−$2.10
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6540.581$3.55−$0.45
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.2730.235$2.58−$0.42
Will the Republican Party win the CA-13 House seat? · Yes0.0430.045$2.10+$0.10
Will the Republican Party win the CA-45 House seat? · Yes0.0670.060$1.80−$0.20
Will the Republican Party win the CO-08 House seat? · Yes0.1600.125$1.56−$0.44
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.0900.055$1.22−$0.78
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-03 House seat? · Yes0.7800.880$1.13+$0.13
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2600.275$1.06+$0.06
Will the Republican Party win the PA-10 House seat? · No0.8100.820$1.01+$0.01
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9100.875$0.96−$0.04
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5900.525$0.89−$0.11
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? · Yes0.2300.185$0.80−$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 20:54Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.6279999573$2.00
10-28 19:35Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
10-27 20:42Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?BUY0.25$1.00
10-26 18:56Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.6739997843$1.00
10-25 22:312026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-25 22:30Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3699999593$2.00
10-25 11:46Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-25 11:46Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
10-25 11:36Will the Democratic Party win the WI-03 House seat?BUY0.78$1.00
10-23 07:41Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2899999884$1.00
10-22 19:41Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-22 19:40Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.32$1.00
10-21 22:58Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
10-21 22:51Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
10-20 21:43Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3599999712$2.00