primefire
0x2cd8b0dac538cea90ea9d793be5eac774feff530
- Realised P&L
- $9.75
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $5.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.58at 0.407France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
- +$7.82at 0.030Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
- +$5.58at 0.425England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
- +$4.78at 0.462England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$3.22at 0.387Will England win on 2026-07-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 00:40 | Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Russia by December 31? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 00:40 | Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 10-15 00:40 | Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31? | BUY | 0.1099999951 | $2.00 |
| 10-15 00:40 | Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for North Korea by December 31? | BUY | 0.037827352 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 02:34 | Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.622 | $9.06 |
| 10-01 03:51 | Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 21:02 | Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.8382394545 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 06:30 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.955 | $1.73 |
| 08-27 07:35 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 10:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? | BUY | 0.7219998859 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 10:39 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8449998944 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 10:39 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 10:38 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 03:41 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 21:06 | France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.9975 | $25.25 |