PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2Cb9d242da19Ea95d91258b68a9EF434A4ad81b0-1767660155887

0x2cb9d242da19ea95d91258b68a9ef434a4ad81b0

Realised P&L
$-48.59
Volume
$684.51
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$25.83

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0430.064$7.38+$2.38
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.2800.155$5.54$4.46
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.2200.115$5.23$4.77
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? · Yes0.0700.071$3.06+$0.06
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · Yes0.1580.075$2.37$2.63
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3000.070$1.17$3.83
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1400.030$1.09$3.91
Curfew in Minneapolis-Saint Paul by Monday? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$5.00
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? · Yes0.1220.000$0.00$5.00
Maduro mugshot released by January 9? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$5.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$5.00
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$5.00
Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$5.00
ICE shooter charged by March 31? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$3.00
US strike on Mexico by January 31? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-13 01:33ICE shooter charged by March 31?BUY0.3$3.00
01-12 20:26Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?BUY0.0699999797$3.00
01-12 20:24US strike on Mexico by January 31?BUY0.0350023975$1.00
01-12 01:09Chargers vs. PatriotsBUY0.6599999604$5.00
01-09 10:30Curfew in Minneapolis-Saint Paul by Monday?BUY0.1299999789$5.00
01-09 10:29Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?BUY0.29999997$5.00
01-06 22:27Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.1399999787$5.00
01-06 22:08Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?BUY0.209999974$5.00
01-06 02:35US strike on Mexico by December 31?BUY0.1584095679$5.00
01-06 02:29Maduro mugshot released by January 9?BUY0.1299999789$5.00
01-06 01:17Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?BUY0.1218391892$5.00
01-06 01:15US strike on Colombia by December 31?BUY0.2799999854$10.00
01-06 01:08Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.219999985$10.00
01-06 01:07Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0429999921$5.00
01-06 00:50Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?BUY0.0329999937$5.00