PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nirton

0x2cafe1bbc44826afa61758563ad63a7e8b651fce

Realised P&L
$63.32
Volume
$9.6k
Markets traded
157
Open portfolio
$107.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded157
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3260.610$13.19+$6.13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9350.997$10.66+$0.66
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.395$9.74+$6.78
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.835$9.05+$6.45
Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7000.845$8.45+$1.45
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.730$7.47$1.53
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2910.156$6.86$5.92
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.1900.545$5.56+$3.62
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.270$4.80+$3.20
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.120$4.80$3.20
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? · Yes0.0830.039$3.83$4.32
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5200.655$3.27+$0.68
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0530.040$3.20$1.08
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.0500.069$2.74+$0.74
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.090$2.07+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 18:58Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.05$2.00
09-04 16:11Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.07$1.40
08-29 19:28Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August?BUY0.75$6.00
08-29 19:27Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?BUY0.1099999521$2.00
08-26 12:08Bitcoin Up or Down on August 26?BUY0.1099999521$2.00
08-25 23:38Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETSELL0.92$5.52
08-25 23:19Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETSELL0.28$1.40
08-25 23:16Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.5299998781$2.00
08-25 23:08Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.62$6.20
08-25 20:02Bitcoin Up or Down on August 26?BUY0.6499999025$2.00
08-25 19:52Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.9099995859$2.00
08-25 19:51Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.8599999935$8.00
08-25 19:46Bitcoin Up or Down on August 26?BUY0.6699996951$2.00
08-25 19:46Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.3399999422$2.00
08-25 10:09Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.049$2.21