PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x2c76244c5cc9098ed3270b0c7a805300031a8487

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$30.5k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration52.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1990.125$940.95$559.04
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2980.255$880.97$148.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-26 08:52NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2978752433$1.0k
08-26 08:50NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1992666543$1.5k
08-26 08:49Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?SELL0.9786865288$1.0k
08-18 15:15NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2399999997$500.00
08-13 15:06Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.930734447$500.00
08-13 15:05Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.7299999987$493.33
08-13 15:02US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?SELL0.9806854085$282.21
08-11 12:44US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.05$20.00
08-11 12:44US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.0599999972$20.00
08-11 12:43US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?BUY0.8687306108$250.00
08-10 04:28US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.09$242.27
08-05 09:28US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.2299999994$250.00
08-04 09:15NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.25477682$500.00
08-04 07:50US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5187013789$500.00
07-29 13:24US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.7799999997$500.00
Trader 0x2c76…8487 · PolyBot Pro