ghjjkjkjh
0x2c2b10a5c8e578ebd167fbe9bbe76442bfff45c1
- Realised P&L
- $-162.30
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $26.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.996 | 0.999 | $5.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.995 | 0.999 | $4.52 | +$0.02 |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.992 | 1.000 | $4.04 | +$0.03 |
| Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $3.90 | −$0.00 |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.996 | 0.996 | $3.36 | −$0.00 |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.994 | 0.999 | $3.02 | +$0.01 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,400 September 28-October 4? · No | 0.998 | 0.996 | $2.99 | −$0.01 |
| Lakers vs. Nuggets · Nuggets | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$154.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.03at 0.998Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?
- +$0.02at 0.997Will XRP dip to $0.20 in July?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will Solana reach $190 in February?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 9?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 11:12 | Will Ethereum reach $3,400 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.00 |
| 10-01 11:10 | Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 13:11 | Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 09:27 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 08-03 09:25 | Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.90 |
| 07-03 01:30 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 in July? | BUY | 0.997 | $6.98 |
| 06-18 12:26 | Will Solana reach $150 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.99 |
| 06-02 12:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 05-15 09:06 | Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.99 |
| 05-05 10:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 04-25 08:20 | Will XRP dip to $0.60 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.99 |
| 04-25 08:20 | Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.994 | $3.00 |
| 04-09 13:34 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.99 |
| 04-01 05:20 | Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.995 | $4.50 |
| 04-01 05:19 | Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.991 | $3.62 |