bebrovozik
0x2c139b29ab494c30a68334b957376c783c6230ab
- Realised P&L
- $-83.85
- Volume
- $11.5k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $787.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.30at 0.610Will Russia enter Orikhiv by December 31?
- +$89.85at 0.524Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by October 31?
- +$58.44at 0.523Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by September 30?
- +$55.30at 0.170Ethereum above $2,400 on September 13?
- +$49.06at 0.370Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 18:01 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3624999862 | $9.51 |
| 07-14 19:01 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.3775 | $9.44 |
| 07-12 00:49 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $9.79 |
| 07-10 18:38 | Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2725 | $4.91 |
| 07-09 19:48 | France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.2099999673 | $4.50 |
| 07-09 05:50 | Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1489 | $14.89 |
| 07-07 22:01 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5599999851 | $7.52 |
| 07-07 18:25 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 18:24 | Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 18:24 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 17:35 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.1699999491 | $2.74 |
| 07-07 17:34 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.84 |
| 07-07 17:33 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.1699999594 | $2.85 |
| 07-07 16:25 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.4699999834 | $9.91 |
| 07-06 21:47 | United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.1699999649 | $3.58 |