pinganfuqi
0x2c0a3bdb3fb6e32533aef6c786437854472a8d63
- Realised P&L
- $-89.37
- Volume
- $18.5k
- Markets traded
- 129
- Open portfolio
- $108.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded129
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 17? · No | 0.997 | 0.994 | $94.64 | −$0.36 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.934 | 0.980 | $13.63 | +$0.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.45at 0.944Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 28?
- +$5.67at 0.960Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 30?
- +$5.65at 0.959Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 29?
- +$5.40at 0.937Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 22?
- +$4.91at 0.953Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 05:33 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.997269473 | $95.00 |
| 10-13 05:34 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.995 | $95.00 |
| 10-10 01:04 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C or below on October 10? | BUY | 0.9738862432 | $92.00 |
| 10-10 01:04 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C or below on October 10? | SELL | 0.9952165701 | $92.73 |
| 10-09 23:57 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C or below on October 10? | BUY | 0.987323683 | $92.00 |
| 10-08 07:11 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.9952493164 | $91.00 |
| 10-05 05:44 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.9950018697 | $91.00 |
| 09-29 05:33 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.989999999 | $90.00 |
| 09-24 06:35 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C or below on September 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $89.00 |
| 09-21 07:53 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.9957173128 | $89.00 |
| 09-17 05:51 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.994 | $88.00 |
| 09-12 05:32 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.99 | $87.96 |
| 09-10 05:40 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C or below on September 11? | BUY | 0.99 | $87.00 |
| 09-10 05:39 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.999 | $86.64 |
| 09-09 11:17 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.98 | $85.00 |