PolyBot

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Traders

TheNoobBeaver

0x2bcd792138a4e184f791b05d9c5c70e3c8f7cbfb

Realised P&L
$-196.02
Volume
$868.1k
Markets traded
2,554
Open portfolio
$581.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,554
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:16Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.579999994$25.00
11-01 19:16Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas?BUY0.007$2.00
11-01 19:15Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio?BUY0.009$5.00
11-01 19:14Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.01$5.00
11-01 19:14Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.011$5.00
11-01 19:145kt meteor strike in 2026?SELL0.87$30.21
11-01 19:14Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?SELL0.92$21.64
10-27 18:00Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5899999954$40.00
10-27 18:00Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms?SELL0.8601792035$38.88
10-25 22:13Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4449999857$12.00
10-25 20:53Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6499999994$100.00
10-25 20:52Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.996$25.94
10-25 20:52Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?SELL0.86$85.79
10-25 08:13Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5899999954$40.00
10-25 08:13Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.91$40.31