PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

helvetic-samba

0x2bc8ba8fe0b8b8913ea4f6b53eb5369c8cbab4da

Realised P&L
$489.26
Volume
$1.61M
Markets traded
1,687
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,687
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
CA Lanús vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5 · Over0.7011.000$1.0k+$312.97
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8060.845$456.30+$21.10
CA Lanús vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5520.535$213.99$7.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1170.043$165.89$280.74
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6200.635$127.10+$3.10
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1410.604$120.70+$92.54
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5600.385$77.00$35.00
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 36% and 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1000.097$19.40$0.60
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70? · No0.0450.029$5.90$3.10
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 33% and 36% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0270.021$4.10$1.30
CA Lanús vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.4100.400$3.39$0.08
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $75? · No0.0680.021$1.26$2.80
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0120.002$0.15$1.01
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0120.001$0.05$1.11
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0120.001$0.05$1.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 16:00Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?BUY0.949$189.80
09-21 12:05Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 21?BUY0.8387225983$135.06
09-20 22:21CR Flamengo vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 3.5BUY0.75$225.00
09-20 20:14Valencia CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5SELL0.76$303.96
09-20 19:17SC Paderborn 07 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5SELL0.21275$42.55
09-20 15:43Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.35$209.99
09-20 15:00Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5BUY0.55$55.00
09-19 22:38Will Santos FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.34$8.88
09-19 15:43Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.006$6.00
09-19 01:29Will Racing Club win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.81$162.00
09-19 01:25Will Racing Club win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.818869$163.77
09-19 01:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETBUY0.98$25.00
09-19 01:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETBUY0.98$25.00
09-19 01:12Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETBUY0.7799999282$5.00
09-19 01:11Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETBUY0.7299999679$5.00