HelloWorld2024
0x2bace940278da373e37fcf5c5576ecb41290f238
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $4.70M
- Markets traded
- 47,695
- Open portfolio
- $13.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded47,695
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.0kat 0.382Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$9.7kat 0.507Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
- +$5.5kat 0.720Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31?
- +$2.4kat 0.820Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
- +$2.2kat 0.620Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 23:00 | Government shutdown by December 12? | BUY | 0.32 | $19.20 |
| 10-30 10:45 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 20:45 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.75 | $12.5k |
| 10-28 11:20 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.05 | $50.00 |
| 10-28 11:19 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.77 | $223.30 |
| 10-28 11:18 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? | SELL | 0.63 | $220.50 |
| 10-28 11:14 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.77 | $616.00 |
| 10-28 11:12 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.05 | $50.00 |
| 10-28 11:10 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.05 | $150.00 |
| 10-26 20:48 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.74 | $89.54 |
| 10-22 18:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 10-22 18:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 10-22 18:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 10-22 18:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 10-22 18:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |