hehehy
0x2b9d8f62d33910e4677889da17991b0360cafca6
- Realised P&L
- $4.76
- Volume
- $367.16
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $70.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 1.000 | $29.41 | +$24.41 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.570 | 1.000 | $17.54 | +$7.54 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.895 | $15.43 | +$10.43 |
| US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.090 | $7.83 | −$12.17 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026? · No | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.96at 0.836GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
- +$-20.64at 0.206GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 14:23 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 14:20 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5699999966 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 14:14 | US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999931 | $20.00 |
| 07-06 14:09 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 14:08 | Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 14:06 | GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 14:05 | GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999975 | $20.00 |
| 07-06 14:04 | GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |