PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

CheffromHell

0x2b98c35d110b89f161627df47b20d49bf3e99cb0

Realised P&L
$-304.15
Volume
$65.7k
Markets traded
364
Open portfolio
$148.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded364
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? · Yes0.2600.455$17.50+$7.50
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0400.045$11.38+$1.38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1500.155$10.33+$0.33
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? · Yes0.4000.405$10.13+$0.13
Will AEK win on 2026-10-20? · Yes0.0430.043$10.12+$0.12
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20? · Yes0.5600.555$9.91−$0.09
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes0.0340.033$9.82−$0.18
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · Yes0.0800.075$9.38−$0.63
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · No0.2700.240$8.89−$1.11
Any G20 leader out in 2026? · Yes0.1590.135$8.51−$1.49
Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? · Yes0.0370.029$7.91−$2.09
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.3100.245$7.90−$2.10
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? · Yes0.0450.034$6.70−$2.30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1000.044$6.67−$8.32
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.105$5.25−$4.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 10:12Will AEK win on 2026-10-20?BUY0.0429999999$10.00
10-20 10:11Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20?BUY0.5599999955$10.00
10-20 10:11Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?BUY0.4$10.00
10-20 04:24Any G20 leader out in 2026?BUY0.1587301587$10.00
10-20 04:22Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?BUY0.2599999964$10.00
10-20 04:22Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?BUY0.0366814883$10.00
10-19 20:15Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?BUY0.137800582$10.00
10-19 18:37Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?BUY0.2199999974$5.00
10-19 18:06Will AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?BUY0.01$10.00
10-19 16:53Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETBUY0.25$5.00
10-19 16:12Paris curfew by October 19?BUY0.7282717176$10.00
10-19 14:05Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETBUY0.709999992$25.00
10-19 13:35Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?SELL0.48$34.97
10-19 12:41Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETBUY0.229999994$5.00
10-19 11:56Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.4799999846$5.00