CheffromHell
0x2b98c35d110b89f161627df47b20d49bf3e99cb0
- Realised P&L
- $-304.15
- Volume
- $65.7k
- Markets traded
- 364
- Open portfolio
- $148.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded364
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$345.23at 0.255Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
- +$116.33at 0.082Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?
- +$104.20at 0.763Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
- +$98.38at 0.721Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:55AM-3:00AM ET
- +$97.26at 0.211Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 10:12 | Will AEK win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.0429999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 10:11 | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 10:11 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 04:24 | Any G20 leader out in 2026? | BUY | 0.1587301587 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 04:22 | Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | BUY | 0.2599999964 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 04:22 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | BUY | 0.0366814883 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 20:15 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.137800582 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 18:37 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 18:06 | Will AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 16:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 16:12 | Paris curfew by October 19? | BUY | 0.7282717176 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 14:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.709999992 | $25.00 |
| 10-19 13:35 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $34.97 |
| 10-19 12:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.229999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 11:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |