PolyBot

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Traders

Asteroidus

0x2b58820d0ccea7a30d47ad2140ab57ffe2f4f2ab

Realised P&L
$48.59
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$50.02

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 01:31Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.4399998658$1.18
09-22 19:06Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?SELL0.15$0.12
09-22 07:52Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?SELL0.19$1.16
09-21 11:20Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.7299999873$14.42
09-21 11:16Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5699999886$5.00
09-21 11:13Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.609999986$10.00
09-20 09:33NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8499999901$8.61
09-20 09:29Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?SELL0.936603139$8.35
09-18 06:03Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.669999995$20.00
09-18 06:03Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.93$22.25
09-09 18:03Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.8099999975$19.38
09-09 17:59Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1299999982$5.00
09-09 17:59Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5299999587$5.00
08-19 14:10US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?SELL0.93$4.20
08-09 16:53US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.53$2.40