PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2b2cda5ea2fe4a3eecde298789751121c41b05bd

Realised P&L
$-19.83
Volume
$3.1k
Markets traded
617
Open portfolio
$55.21

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded617
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.985$5.04$0.07
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.984$5.03$0.08
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.974$4.98$0.13
Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No0.9961.000$4.94+$0.02
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.963$4.93$0.18
Will CPRF win the next Chuvashia Parliament elections? · No0.9990.997$4.92$0.01
Will United Russia win the next Chechnya Parliament elections? · Yes0.9990.995$4.91$0.02
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.959$4.90$0.21
Will LDPR win the next Chuvashia Parliament elections? · No0.9990.991$4.89$0.04
Will Taqaddom Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · No0.9971.000$4.62+$0.01
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.890$4.55$0.56
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.9980.295$1.51$3.60
Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor? · Yes0.9990.000$0.00$6.02
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8PM ET · Down0.4410.000$0.00$3.36
Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor? · No0.9990.000$0.00$6.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 19:59Will LDPR win the next Chuvashia Parliament elections?BUY0.999$4.93
09-20 19:59Will CPRF win the next Chuvashia Parliament elections?BUY0.999$4.93
09-20 19:57Will United Russia win the next Chechnya Parliament elections?BUY0.9989999868$4.93
09-20 05:59XRP Up or Down - September 20, 1AM ETBUY0.98$4.92
09-20 04:57BNB Up or Down - September 20, 12AM ETBUY0.99$4.92
09-20 04:57Dogecoin Up or Down - September 20, 12AM ETBUY0.99$4.92
09-19 23:58Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.996$4.92
09-19 23:57Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.9929999994$4.92
09-18 08:57XRP Up or Down - September 18, 4AM ETBUY0.99$4.88
09-18 03:56Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 17, 2026?BUY0.998$4.88
09-18 01:57XRP Up or Down - September 17, 9PM ETBUY0.99$4.88
09-18 01:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9PM ETBUY0.9899999858$4.88
09-17 23:58Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17?BUY0.9969999996$4.88
09-17 22:58Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 6PM ETBUY0.988$4.88
09-17 19:57XRP Up or Down - September 17, 3PM ETBUY0.98$4.87