S0177Stephen
0x2b1835a944db9963914cc9b16ca9f209b53bd3d6
- Realised P&L
- $-11.86
- Volume
- $8.9k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $441.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.55at 0.432Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers
- +$10.30at 0.166Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.42at 0.602Braga: Duje Ajdukovic vs Filip Jianu
- +$4.48at 0.671Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?
- +$4.48at 0.610Patriots vs. Jaguars
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 12:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $392.00 |
| 10-05 12:47 | AI artwork hits $10M at major auction in 2026? | BUY | 0.9669999969 | $1.90 |
| 10-05 12:46 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199996672 | $1.88 |
| 10-05 12:44 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8499996525 | $1.59 |
| 10-05 12:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October? | BUY | 0.9299999695 | $1.22 |
| 10-05 11:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? | BUY | 0.5899999813 | $12.00 |
| 10-05 11:50 | Braga: Duje Ajdukovic vs Filip Jianu | BUY | 0.5899999936 | $11.00 |
| 10-05 11:47 | Samsun: Dominika Salkova vs Himeno Sakatsume | BUY | 0.4799999939 | $25.00 |
| 10-05 11:29 | Counter-Strike: M80 vs TYLOO (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 10-05 11:23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $12.50 |
| 10-05 11:21 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999973 | $11.00 |
| 09-22 14:34 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? | BUY | 0.995 | $402.00 |
| 09-22 14:01 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.9419995312 | $1.27 |
| 09-22 14:00 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.9899994822 | $1.30 |
| 09-22 14:00 | Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999817 | $1.03 |