User96014
0x2b163d0fd09325049b5d25bcec094c85352fcbe4
- Realised P&L
- $53.19
- Volume
- $8.8k
- Markets traded
- 507
- Open portfolio
- $218.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded507
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.49at 0.176Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$20.30at 0.330US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?
- +$12.13at 0.454US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?
- +$11.49at 0.465Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
- +$11.13at 0.310US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 14:55 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9299998419 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 13:30 | Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0167476794 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 13:21 | Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 12:48 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 03:17 | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BUY | 0.985999998 | $6.00 |
| 10-19 02:42 | Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.7099999517 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 00:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $15.00 |
| 10-16 23:48 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.629999995 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 23:47 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | BUY | 0.8989999999 | $15.00 |
| 10-12 05:31 | Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | BUY | 0.9199999902 | $15.00 |
| 10-12 05:18 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15? | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 18:50 | Texans vs. Titans: O/U 40.5 | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 18:46 | Bengals vs. Dolphins: O/U 54.5 | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 18:45 | Raiders vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.9399999981 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 18:43 | Vikings vs. Saints: O/U 45.5 | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |