PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

User96014

0x2b163d0fd09325049b5d25bcec094c85352fcbe4

Realised P&L
$53.19
Volume
$8.8k
Markets traded
507
Open portfolio
$218.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded507
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9100.945$25.96+$0.96
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · No0.6090.665$21.83+$1.83
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2910.175$21.03−$13.97
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0190.013$20.91−$9.09
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? · No0.5030.555$16.54+$1.54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8990.972$16.21+$1.21
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.1200.165$13.75+$3.75
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9140.980$10.72+$0.72
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1100.105$9.55−$0.45
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? · No0.6600.385$8.75−$6.25
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · No0.9860.982$5.97−$0.03
Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2027? · No0.7100.815$5.74+$0.74
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6300.705$5.60+$0.60
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8800.977$5.55+$0.55
Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.951$5.17+$0.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 14:55US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.9299998419$5.00
10-26 13:30Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0167476794$5.00
10-26 13:21Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?BUY0.1699999983$5.00
10-26 12:48US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?BUY0.629999995$10.00
10-19 03:17Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?BUY0.985999998$6.00
10-19 02:42Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2027?BUY0.7099999517$5.00
10-17 00:02US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.95$15.00
10-16 23:482026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.629999995$5.00
10-16 23:47Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?BUY0.8989999999$15.00
10-12 05:31Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?BUY0.9199999902$15.00
10-12 05:18Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?BUY0.8899999947$10.00
10-11 18:50Texans vs. Titans: O/U 40.5BUY0.8199999967$10.00
10-11 18:46Bengals vs. Dolphins: O/U 54.5BUY0.699999972$5.00
10-11 18:45Raiders vs. PatriotsBUY0.9399999981$10.00
10-11 18:43Vikings vs. Saints: O/U 45.5BUY0.8$5.00