LosingItAll
0x2aae2e9f072ea25efe17ad4793f6688e674bcb22
- Realised P&L
- $-50.14
- Volume
- $30.2k
- Markets traded
- 355
- Open portfolio
- $393.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded355
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.61at 0.791Gintautas Paluckas out as Lithuania prime minister by December 31?
- +$53.89at 0.230Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
- +$52.70at 0.252Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
- +$51.04at 0.585Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
- +$46.15at 0.430Another India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 05:02 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? | BUY | 0.65 | $22.75 |
| 10-21 03:18 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.67 | $12.06 |
| 10-20 04:51 | Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 10-20 04:48 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $33.25 |
| 10-19 02:21 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? | BUY | 0.67 | $20.10 |
| 09-23 03:02 | Nothing Ever Happens: September | BUY | 0.83 | $41.50 |
| 09-18 10:04 | Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.71 | $35.50 |
| 09-02 11:10 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.51 | $4.08 |
| 09-02 11:09 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.51 | $4.08 |
| 07-27 05:09 | Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $61.60 |
| 07-23 16:56 | Moscow air traffic suspended by July 25? | BUY | 0.0752133333 | $2.26 |
| 07-23 16:53 | Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31? | BUY | 0.2477142857 | $8.67 |
| 07-23 16:53 | Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 07-23 11:07 | Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31? | BUY | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 07-21 06:05 | Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | BUY | 0.34 | $6.80 |