LosingItAll
0x2aae2e9f072ea25efe17ad4793f6688e674bcb22
- Realised P&L
- $7.35
- Volume
- $30.3k
- Markets traded
- 348
- Open portfolio
- $276.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded348
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.61at 0.791Gintautas Paluckas out as Lithuania prime minister by December 31?
- +$53.89at 0.230Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
- +$52.70at 0.252Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
- +$51.04at 0.585Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
- +$46.15at 0.430Another India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 11:10 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.51 | $4.08 |
| 09-02 11:09 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.51 | $4.08 |
| 07-27 05:09 | Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $61.60 |
| 07-23 16:56 | Moscow air traffic suspended by July 25? | BUY | 0.0752133333 | $2.26 |
| 07-23 16:53 | Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31? | BUY | 0.2477142857 | $8.67 |
| 07-23 16:53 | Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 07-23 11:07 | Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31? | BUY | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 07-21 06:05 | Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | BUY | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 07-21 06:02 | Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | BUY | 0.2 | $8.00 |
| 07-21 05:35 | Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31? | BUY | 0.59 | $0.37 |
| 07-21 05:35 | Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31? | BUY | 0.5896294118 | $10.02 |
| 07-21 05:35 | Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31? | BUY | 0.58 | $11.60 |
| 07-18 20:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.0671084641 | $2.00 |
| 07-18 20:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.1260788971 | $2.00 |
| 07-18 20:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.1009859727 | $5.00 |