PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

LosingItAll

0x2aae2e9f072ea25efe17ad4793f6688e674bcb22

Realised P&L
$7.35
Volume
$30.3k
Markets traded
348
Open portfolio
$276.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded348
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.945$102.72+$2.72
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8100.895$89.50+$8.50
X banned in any European country by December 31? · No0.8100.885$39.83+$3.38
Will Israel recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.9100.963$38.52+$2.12
Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.7700.032$2.56$59.04
Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? · Yes0.3400.095$1.90$4.90
Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? · Yes0.2000.036$1.46$6.54
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET · Down0.2960.000$0.00$7.67
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Up0.0670.000$0.00$9.00
Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET · Down0.2950.000$0.00$26.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET · Up0.2300.000$0.00$5.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET · Up0.4260.000$0.00$10.00
Solana Up or Down - July 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET · Up0.4620.000$0.00$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET · Down0.1590.000$0.00$29.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-02 11:10Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?BUY0.51$4.08
09-02 11:09Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?BUY0.51$4.08
07-27 05:09Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026?BUY0.77$61.60
07-23 16:56Moscow air traffic suspended by July 25?BUY0.0752133333$2.26
07-23 16:53Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?BUY0.2477142857$8.67
07-23 16:53Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?BUY0.24$2.40
07-23 11:07Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?BUY0.72$14.40
07-21 06:05Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?BUY0.34$6.80
07-21 06:02Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?BUY0.2$8.00
07-21 05:35Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?BUY0.59$0.37
07-21 05:35Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?BUY0.5896294118$10.02
07-21 05:35Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?BUY0.58$11.60
07-18 20:22Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.0671084641$2.00
07-18 20:21Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.1260788971$2.00
07-18 20:20Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.1009859727$5.00