0x2a9d87d85219a3aee5cdd56ef5799db5e0094124
- Realised P&L
- $-55.54
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $35.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.37at 0.630 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$2.13at 0.491Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.63at 0.653Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.19at 0.823Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election?
- +$0.08at 0.814Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 01:43 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.12 |
| 09-17 17:01 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.39 |
| 09-17 06:59 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.9299998419 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 05:06 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.08 |
| 09-17 00:01 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.01 |
| 09-16 20:08 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.08 |
| 09-16 20:08 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.21 |
| 09-15 23:01 | Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.02 |
| 09-15 16:33 | Will Vitaly Korolev win the next Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 16:21 | Will Mohammed Umaru Bago win the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.75 | $0.89 |
| 09-13 19:16 | Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.08 |
| 09-13 19:16 | Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.22 |
| 09-12 15:36 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.01 |
| 09-12 07:06 | Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.02 |
| 09-11 23:03 | Will Peter Freshney win the next Latrobe mayoral election? | BUY | 0.925 | $1.00 |