0x2a9d87d85219a3aee5cdd56ef5799db5e0094124
0x2a9d87d85219a3aee5cdd56ef5799db5e0094124
- Realised P&L
- $-69.73
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 173
- Open portfolio
- $23.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded173
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.37at 0.630 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$2.13at 0.491Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.63at 0.653Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.16at 0.444Will JHC win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election?
- +$1.07at 0.002Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 06:47 | Tusk out by December 31? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.12 |
| 11-01 18:57 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.495 | $0.65 |
| 11-01 16:29 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.9599996928 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 16:27 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.13 |
| 11-01 15:55 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.98 |
| 11-01 15:38 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8399994288 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 15:34 | Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 8–12%? | SELL | 0.932 | $0.93 |
| 11-01 15:24 | Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 8–12%? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 15:17 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.939 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 14:57 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.945 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 14:34 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.937 | $0.98 |
| 11-01 14:21 | Tusk out by December 31? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 14:17 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.9439999773 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 13:30 | Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $0.99 |
| 11-01 12:44 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.61 | $1.00 |