PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2A97d500f326a000f926657fF75c71E98B5dCF3A-1741424759137

0x2a97d500f326a000f926657ff75c71e98b5dcf3a

Realised P&L
$109.22
Volume
$26.2k
Markets traded
138
Open portfolio
$95.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded138
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0310.040$31.44+$6.44
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2020.221$27.29+$2.29
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0140.024$8.39+$3.39
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? · Yes0.0980.110$7.85+$0.85
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1600.105$6.56$3.44
Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals? · Yes0.0840.105$6.24+$1.24
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.3500.055$3.14$16.86
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0800.040$2.46$2.54
Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? · Yes0.0280.007$0.80$2.20
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0280.006$0.70$2.30
Will Joe Ryan win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? · Yes0.0080.001$0.18$2.82
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0900.001$0.06$9.94
Magic vs. Cavaliers · Magic0.0600.000$0.00$3.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2470.000$0.00$2.00
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-13 14:14Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals?BUY0.0841121348$5.00
07-13 14:13Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?BUY0.0976290098$7.00
07-11 11:22Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.354999937$2.00
07-11 11:22Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2474999094$2.00
07-05 12:52Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.008999997$3.00
07-05 12:49Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2019999939$25.00
06-29 02:04Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0139999861$1.00
06-29 02:03Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.011999988$1.00
06-29 02:03Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0239999881$2.00
06-25 21:59Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.03$3.00
06-08 04:15Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.0089063057$1.00
06-08 04:15Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.533$10.23
06-04 03:22Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.7813101625$15.00
06-04 02:56Knicks vs. SpursBUY0.1399999426$2.00
06-04 02:56Knicks vs. SpursSELL0.84$14.62