0x2A97d500f326a000f926657fF75c71E98B5dCF3A-1741424759137
0x2a97d500f326a000f926657ff75c71e98b5dcf3a
- Realised P&L
- $109.22
- Volume
- $26.2k
- Markets traded
- 138
- Open portfolio
- $95.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded138
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$135.50at 0.060Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
- +$121.30at 0.253Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?
- +$80.62at 0.181Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$70.75at 0.238Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$47.73at 0.565Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 14:14 | Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0841121348 | $5.00 |
| 07-13 14:13 | Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0976290098 | $7.00 |
| 07-11 11:22 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.354999937 | $2.00 |
| 07-11 11:22 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2474999094 | $2.00 |
| 07-05 12:52 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.008999997 | $3.00 |
| 07-05 12:49 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.2019999939 | $25.00 |
| 06-29 02:04 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0139999861 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 02:03 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.011999988 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 02:03 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0239999881 | $2.00 |
| 06-25 21:59 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 06-08 04:15 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.0089063057 | $1.00 |
| 06-08 04:15 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.533 | $10.23 |
| 06-04 03:22 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.7813101625 | $15.00 |
| 06-04 02:56 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.1399999426 | $2.00 |
| 06-04 02:56 | Knicks vs. Spurs | SELL | 0.84 | $14.62 |