0x2a9557920e08d132cd8bBFBCac8eB78F1ab42D3e-1775325101698
0x2a9557920e08d132cd8bbfbcac8eb78f1ab42d3e
- Realised P&L
- $-3.1k
- Volume
- $166.0k
- Markets traded
- 7,302
- Open portfolio
- $234.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,302
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$531.46at 0.247Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
- +$529.60at 0.710Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 9AM ET
- +$432.93at 0.303Solana Up or Down - July 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
- +$343.75at 0.440Dogecoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
- +$295.76at 0.528Dogecoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 12:51 | Will voter turnout be between 76% and 78% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? | BUY | 0.64 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 12:51 | Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.6099999984 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 12:07 | Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? | BUY | 0.7019999981 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 12:07 | Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 0.9%? | BUY | 0.6551221335 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 12:07 | Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%? | BUY | 0.6329999857 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 12:07 | Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October? | BUY | 0.393442623 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 12:07 | Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 2-November 8? | BUY | 0.6699999911 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 12:07 | Will the Labour Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.565 | $11.29 |
| 11-01 12:07 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999957 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 12:07 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.649999974 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 12:07 | Will Republicans win 8–9% of the Black vote? | BUY | 0.6799999873 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 12:06 | Will 0 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999957 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 12:06 | Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth 0.5% to 1.5%? | BUY | 0.6 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 12:06 | Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.688999973 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 12:06 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 5%-10%? | BUY | 0.6799999873 | $15.00 |