Philly89533
0x2a7cb8969e953694e95514ba09a243803379c5db
- Realised P&L
- $-11.98
- Volume
- $957.27
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $4.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.38at 0.130Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?
- +$8.16at 0.380Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
- +$3.95at 0.330TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
- +$3.06at 0.620Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?
- +$2.95at 0.396Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 14:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | SELL | 0.82 | $1.78 |
| 09-11 14:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 14:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 13:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 13:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | SELL | 0.47 | $1.14 |
| 09-11 13:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 12:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | SELL | 0.84 | $2.89 |
| 09-11 12:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 14:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | SELL | 0.89 | $2.96 |
| 09-06 14:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | SELL | 0.26 | $0.58 |
| 09-06 14:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 09-06 14:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 14:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 14:14 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster? | SELL | 0.061 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 14:14 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.246 | $3.17 |