Ryuuff
0x2a79a456c1f93d0de9d4e824cda008731b667965
- Realised P&L
- $-14.62
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $78.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.985 | 0.996 | $15.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.004 | $15.00 | +$5.00 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No | 0.934 | 0.996 | $12.79 | +$0.79 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.901 | 0.954 | $12.70 | +$0.70 |
| Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship? · Yes | 0.281 | 0.355 | $12.63 | +$2.63 |
| Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-20? · No | 0.640 | 0.640 | $10.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? · No | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.917 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
| Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-12? · No | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will FC Porto win on 2026-08-23? · No | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · England | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.76at 0.610Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$5.27at 0.741Will Vinícius Júnior be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- +$5.14at 0.745Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$2.94at 0.837Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: Team to Advance
- +$2.91at 0.873Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 20:09 | Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 17:42 | Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 19:55 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 19:29 | FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester City FC O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.7799999813 | $5.00 |
| 09-07 20:29 | Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |
| 08-31 19:22 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-31? | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 08-31 18:08 | Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.998 | $10.33 |
| 08-28 20:16 | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.984999959 | $15.00 |
| 08-23 20:52 | Will FC Porto win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 08-20 17:42 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-20? | BUY | 0.8499999893 | $7.93 |
| 08-07 22:07 | Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0029999997 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 22:01 | Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship? | BUY | 0.2810812748 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 15:11 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-06? | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 07-27 21:34 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.8299999978 | $15.00 |
| 07-27 21:33 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $20.00 |