PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bot0

0x2a553f317b55551f17db3b7bf62091b2778aa769

Realised P&L
$-123.00
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$2.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.4910.487$1.07$0.01
Will Notre Dame Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game? · No0.6900.680$1.06$0.02
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$2.39
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 16? · Up0.6080.000$0.00$15.20
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election · No0.8700.000$0.00$21.64
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00$5.28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00$9.00
DeepSeek V4 released by April 24? · No0.6490.000$0.00$64.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 18:44Will Notre Dame Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?BUY0.6899999744$1.08
09-13 18:38Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?SELL0.31$0.93
09-13 17:41Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?BUY0.32$1.07
09-12 14:59Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.4909999259$1.08
09-12 14:18Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?SELL0.046$0.48
09-12 14:16Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?BUY0.1$1.04
09-10 15:46Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.867$1.73
09-10 15:44Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.868$1.81
06-16 10:59Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.83$23.70
06-15 09:32US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.864$4.56
05-27 05:36US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?SELL0.999$15.98
05-21 09:30US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?BUY0.937999955$1.00
04-29 21:53Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?SELL0.028$2.24
04-29 21:42Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?SELL0.03$0.30
04-29 21:05Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?BUY0.05$5.00