PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x2a3e16916CFdc41561018568BB10dDCA42bB883d-1778725632839

0x2a3e16916cfdc41561018568bb10ddca42bb883d

Realised P&L
$163.80
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$393.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31? · No0.9000.986$109.56+$9.56
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.4900.515$105.10+$5.10
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · No0.9510.955$100.32+$0.32
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? · Yes0.2990.493$16.47+$6.47
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%? · Yes0.3300.450$13.64+$3.64
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.9370.987$10.53+$0.53
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9340.961$10.28+$0.28
Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · No0.9690.996$10.27+$0.27
Is Earth flat? · No0.9800.990$10.10+$0.10
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.6500.225$3.46$6.54
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.5300.165$3.11$6.89
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$10.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00$10.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$50.00
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-28 01:36Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.7299999974$20.00
06-27 16:55Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.7199999856$10.00
06-27 16:53Will England win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.86$10.00
06-27 16:50Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.5199999813$10.00
06-26 19:02Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.3699999771$10.00
06-26 19:02Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.359999987$10.00
06-26 18:48Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.074$0.32
06-26 18:44Will France win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.7199999856$10.00
06-24 17:26Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?BUY0.3299999812$10.00
06-15 16:28Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.7099999815$10.00
06-15 16:27Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?BUY0.7799999984$10.00
06-09 18:43Is Earth flat?BUY0.9799999608$10.00
05-30 16:27Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY0.2299999869$10.00
05-28 17:06Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.6699999839$10.00
05-28 04:45Will Neymar play in the World Cup?BUY0.8299999967$10.00