PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2a30a9cdED0e19B3492db93B43f682eF3AaCE360-1776439929809

0x2a30a9cded0e19b3492db93b43f682ef3aace360

Realised P&L
$0.75
Volume
$147.60
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$11.39

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration67.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? · Yes0.2000.165$2.48−$0.53
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2070.206$2.00−$0.00
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0900.089$1.99−$0.01
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 3, 2026? · No0.1330.090$1.36−$0.64
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? · No0.0900.095$1.06+$0.06
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026? · No0.1020.096$0.94−$0.06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · No0.2200.195$0.89−$0.11
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026? · No0.1300.090$0.69−$0.31
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.3720.000$0.00−$11.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 20:14Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?BUY0.2$2.00
10-02 20:12US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?BUY0.219999978$1.00
10-02 19:34Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0899999969$2.00
10-02 19:19Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2069999946$2.00
10-02 19:15Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999928$1.00
10-02 19:12Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?BUY0.2$1.00
10-02 19:07Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026?BUY0.1301720106$1.00
10-02 19:07Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026?BUY0.1019999955$1.00
10-02 19:05Will Russia target Kyiv on October 3, 2026?BUY0.1327472454$2.00
04-17 15:57Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?BUY0.3861385947$5.00
04-17 15:43Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?BUY0.6$5.76
04-17 15:37Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.3721531634$11.00