0x2a30a9cdED0e19B3492db93B43f682eF3AaCE360-1776439929809
0x2a30a9cded0e19b3492db93b43f682ef3aace360
- Realised P&L
- $0.75
- Volume
- $147.60
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $11.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.165 | $2.48 | −$0.53 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.207 | 0.206 | $2.00 | −$0.00 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.089 | $1.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 3, 2026? · No | 0.133 | 0.090 | $1.36 | −$0.64 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.090 | 0.095 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026? · No | 0.102 | 0.096 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · No | 0.220 | 0.195 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026? · No | 0.130 | 0.090 | $0.69 | −$0.31 |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.372 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.95at 0.386Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
- +$3.80at 0.612Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 20:14 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 20:12 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 19:34 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0899999969 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 19:19 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.2069999946 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 19:15 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 19:12 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 19:07 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.1301720106 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 19:07 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.1019999955 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 19:05 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.1327472454 | $2.00 |
| 04-17 15:57 | Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30? | BUY | 0.3861385947 | $5.00 |
| 04-17 15:43 | Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m? | BUY | 0.6 | $5.76 |
| 04-17 15:37 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.3721531634 | $11.00 |