Shbar
0x2a2b7434de8616dca3dd5644dd1573572bc32030
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $109.9k
- Markets traded
- 423
- Open portfolio
- $271.73
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded423
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$309.50at 0.360Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$288.62at 0.630Will Satan make a trade during South Park's prediction market episode?
- +$262.50at 0.250Will Norway win on 2025-11-16?
- +$244.00at 0.097Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?
- +$225.10at 0.169Will SP win the fourth most seats in the Norway election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 04:26 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $29.60 |
| 08-04 17:55 | Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.31 | $62.00 |
| 08-04 17:45 | Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.3 | $12.00 |
| 07-19 20:46 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.3475 | $52.12 |
| 07-19 18:54 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.415 | $83.00 |
| 07-19 18:36 | Enzo Fernández: 2+ shots | BUY | 0.39 | $39.00 |
| 07-19 18:33 | Julián Álvarez: 2+ shots | BUY | 0.54 | $108.00 |
| 07-19 18:04 | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.35 | $17.50 |
| 07-19 18:02 | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.75 | $37.50 |
| 07-19 17:47 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $19.20 |
| 07-19 17:39 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.06 | $21.60 |
| 07-17 09:18 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.592 | $66.59 |
| 07-14 23:30 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.419 | $83.80 |
| 07-14 20:19 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.1375 | $20.63 |
| 07-12 17:36 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.29 | $29.00 |