PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders, no custody

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Traders

Shbar

0x2a2b7434de8616dca3dd5644dd1573572bc32030

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$109.9k
Markets traded
423
Open portfolio
$271.73

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded423
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes0.6000.665$133.00+$13.00
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? · Yes0.3100.305$61.00$1.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No0.3700.365$29.20$0.40
Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes0.3000.645$25.80+$13.80
Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes0.3000.345$17.24+$2.24
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1100.036$5.47$11.03
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$39.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00$34.20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$23.50
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$48.00
Enzo Fernández: 2+ shots · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$39.00
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$27.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.3470.000$0.00$52.12
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$28.00
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$17.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 04:26US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.37$29.60
08-04 17:55Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?BUY0.31$62.00
08-04 17:45Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?BUY0.3$12.00
07-19 20:46Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.3475$52.12
07-19 18:54Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.415$83.00
07-19 18:36Enzo Fernández: 2+ shotsBUY0.39$39.00
07-19 18:33Julián Álvarez: 2+ shotsBUY0.54$108.00
07-19 18:04Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsBUY0.35$17.50
07-19 18:02Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsBUY0.75$37.50
07-19 17:47Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.32$19.20
07-19 17:39Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.06$21.60
07-17 09:18Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.592$66.59
07-14 23:30Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.419$83.80
07-14 20:19Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.1375$20.63
07-12 17:36Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.29$29.00