0x2A17E534eB4044D79Ace545BC034d3F47e4ec9f6-1761300381611
0x2a17e534eb4044d79ace545bc034d3f47e4ec9f6
- Realised P&L
- $-49.18
- Volume
- $28.2k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $0.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.17at 0.111Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21?
- +$0.23at 0.280Bitcoin below MicroStrategy average buy price in 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.038Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- +$0.00at 0.012U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
- +$-2.46at 0.130Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-28 19:02 | US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999811 | $7.00 |
| 01-28 18:58 | Bitcoin below MicroStrategy average buy price in 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $6.73 |
| 01-22 17:52 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.20 |
| 01-22 17:50 | Will Ethereum reach $3,400 January 19-25? | BUY | 0.0207619048 | $1.09 |
| 01-22 17:49 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on January 22? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.09 |
| 01-22 17:49 | Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on January 22? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.30 |
| 01-22 17:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 01-22 17:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 19-25? | BUY | 0.0054736842 | $2.60 |
| 01-22 17:48 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,900 on January 22? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.80 |
| 01-22 17:47 | Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 2 hours and 15 minutes? | BUY | 0.0768919466 | $1.90 |
| 01-22 17:42 | Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on January 23? | BUY | 0.0084480865 | $2.00 |
| 01-22 17:41 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,800 on January 23? | BUY | 0.0499858863 | $3.40 |
| 01-22 17:40 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 23? | BUY | 0.0594667629 | $3.00 |
| 01-22 17:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 23? | BUY | 0.017 | $7.90 |
| 01-22 17:39 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999117 | $1.30 |