PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

viqk

0x29ea86a38dc0a96173afcdc938f2580a4540701e

Realised P&L
$-45.0k
Volume
$4.61M
Markets traded
603
Open portfolio
$565.54

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded603
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration68.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1360.175$360.58+$80.84
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1010.045$149.13−$184.02
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.0850.029$33.10−$63.71
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0080.004$14.99−$12.69
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.1700.135$7.75−$2.01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00−$64.46
Iran coup attempt by June 30? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00−$14.65
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 4? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$3.55
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$17.64
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 26? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$30.98
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 8? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 24? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$4.39
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 29? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$8.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-26 05:50Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.007$2.08
06-26 05:49Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1$7.00
06-26 05:48Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.014$2.80
06-26 05:48Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.014$4.66
06-26 05:47Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.003$1.20
06-26 05:47Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.003$10.00
06-26 05:46Iran leadership change by December 31?SELL0.16$27.54
06-26 05:43Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.114$1.25
06-26 05:43Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.11$1.32
06-26 05:38Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1$20.00
06-26 05:38Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1$20.00
06-26 05:38Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.014$19.60
06-26 05:38Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.042$25.20
06-26 05:37Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.003$16.66
06-26 05:37Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?BUY0.29$1.45