PolyBot

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Traders

0x29e32c84b6190100a8499c7d30067c2299b5f115

0x29e32c84b6190100a8499c7d30067c2299b5f115

Realised P&L
$6.61
Volume
$539.14
Markets traded
191
Open portfolio
$4.63

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded191
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? · Yes0.2300.410$1.78+$0.78
Will Meta (META) close at $730-$740 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · Yes0.2500.240$0.96−$0.04
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16? · Down0.4100.390$0.95−$0.05
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · Yes0.4990.468$0.94−$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 03:49Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?BUY0.498999755$1.00
10-16 03:49S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16?BUY0.4099998975$1.00
10-15 19:20Will Meta (META) close at $730-$740 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?BUY0.25$1.00
10-15 10:35Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
10-15 02:33SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-14 18:33Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?BUY0.6699996918$1.00
10-13 22:27Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?BUY0.559999776$1.00
10-12 14:25Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.77$1.00
10-12 06:25Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-11 22:24Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?BUY0.7$1.00
10-11 14:23Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%?BUY0.4799998464$1.00
10-11 06:19Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-10 21:15Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 89% to 92%?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-10 11:55Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-10 03:53Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?BUY0.3399999388$1.00