0x29d40937569de12f701ddd0bb46147d61681e5c4
0x29d40937569de12f701ddd0bb46147d61681e5c4
- Realised P&L
- $-1.48
- Volume
- $255.43
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $2.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · Yes | 0.499 | 0.468 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Meta (META) close at $730-$740 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.230 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.585 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.26at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?
- +$3.99at 0.341Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$3.73at 0.217Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?
- +$2.61at 0.440Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 04:01 | Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.498999755 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 19:19 | Will Meta (META) close at $730-$740 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 10:55 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 02:55 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 06:37 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 22:15 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 14:01 | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 05:32 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 17:51 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.5519997571 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:46 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 23:17 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.2679999485 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 23:14 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 14:46 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 04:20 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7129998674 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 16:20 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |