PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x29d40937569de12f701ddd0bb46147d61681e5c4

0x29d40937569de12f701ddd0bb46147d61681e5c4

Realised P&L
$-1.48
Volume
$255.43
Markets traded
69
Open portfolio
$2.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded69
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · Yes0.4990.468$0.94−$0.06
Will Meta (META) close at $730-$740 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · Yes0.2500.230$0.92−$0.08
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? · No0.7800.585$0.75−$0.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 04:01Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?BUY0.498999755$1.00
10-15 19:19Will Meta (META) close at $730-$740 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?BUY0.25$1.00
10-15 10:55Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
10-15 02:55S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
10-11 06:37Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-10 22:15Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-10 14:01Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-10 05:32Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-09 17:51Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.5519997571$1.00
10-09 09:46Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.4$1.00
10-08 23:17Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.2679999485$1.00
10-07 23:14Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-07 14:46Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
10-07 04:20Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.7129998674$1.00
10-02 16:20Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.25$1.00